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Economic Trends

MDM Forecast: February Update

Our latest update shows a modest downgrade for 2025 annual revenues before we get December's government data, and a larger downward revision for 2026. Get your product sector-specific forecasts here through 2027.

February 18, 2026

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The latest monthly MDM Forecast reflected a modest downgrade for the industry's overall 2025 revenue as we await December's government data — set for Feb. 24 release, while 2026's projection had an even larger downward revision. As always, given the variation throughout, the key value in the MDM Forecast is the sector-specific forecasts it provides.

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The MDM Forecast model uses the U.S. Census Bureau’s revenue data but strips out the broader inclusions of agents and brokers, manufacturers’ sales branches and offices, importers…

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