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Economic Trends

MDM Forecast: October 2025 Update

Our latest monthly projections show little movement for 2025 and 2026 as the forecast tightened. As always, results vary across the 19 industry sectors tracked by the U.S. Census Bureau. Get your sector-specific insights here.

October 14, 2025

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The latest monthly MDM Forecast reflects a modest downward revision in projected annual revenues for U.S. wholesale distribution revenues in 2025, while our 2026 projection held steady. We forecast 2025 annual growth for all but two of the 19 wholesale trade sectors as identified by the U.S. Census Bureau, followed by growth for all sectors in 2026. As always, the key value in the MDM Forecast comes from the sector-specific forecasts it provides.

Stay tuned for MDM's 3Q25 MarketPulse Report, which extracts and analyzes the findings from our early October survey of more than 300 executive…

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